2018
Volatility as a Significant Resource of the Decision Making Uncertainty in the Tourism and Hotel Management
JEŘÁBEK, Tomáš a V. KOZAKZákladní údaje
Originální název
Volatility as a Significant Resource of the Decision Making Uncertainty in the Tourism and Hotel Management
Autoři
JEŘÁBEK, Tomáš (203 Česká republika, garant, domácí) a V. KOZAK
Vydání
USA, INNOVATION MANAGEMENT AND EDUCATION EXCELLENCE THROUGH VISION 2020, VOLS I -XI, od s. 6113-6120, 8 s. 2018
Nakladatel
INT BUSINESS INFORMATION MANAGEMENT ASSOC-IBIMA
Další údaje
Jazyk
angličtina
Typ výsledku
Stať ve sborníku
Obor
50200 5.2 Economics and Business
Stát vydavatele
Spojené státy
Utajení
není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství
Forma vydání
elektronická verze "online"
Organizační jednotka
AMBIS vysoká škola, a.s.
ISBN
978-0-9998551-0-2
UT WoS
000444067203034
Klíčová slova anglicky
GARCH model; volatility; exchange rate; financial forecasts
Štítky
Změněno: 12. 4. 2023 22:05, Bc. Olga Puldová
Anotace
V originále
Modeling and forecasting volatility in recent years has received considerable attention of academics, investors, but also managers. The reason is that volatility is an important indicator of the level of uncertainty in financial markets. The aim of this study is the first detailed analysis of time series of income in foreign exchange rates EUR / CZK and then find the most suitable model and assess its predictive performance in predicting volatility analyzed revenues. For this purpose, use standard econometric models of apparatus, together with the conditional heteroskedasticity, namely GARCH model and its asymmetric variant GJR-GARCH with normal, Student's t-slanted and Student's t-distribution. Results evaluated GARCH (2,1) model as the best option for modeling the volatility observed returns.